{"id":12188,"date":"2012-07-07T00:16:22","date_gmt":"2012-07-06T22:16:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/07\/s-africa-bond-ylds-hit-new-lows-but-political-risk-looms\/"},"modified":"2012-07-07T00:16:22","modified_gmt":"2012-07-06T22:16:22","slug":"s-africa-bond-ylds-hit-new-lows-but-political-risk-looms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/s-africa-bond-ylds-hit-new-lows-but-political-risk-looms\/","title":{"rendered":"S.Africa bond ylds hit new lows but political risk looms"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t<span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>By Xola Potelwa<span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"articleLocation\">JOHANNESBURG, July 6<\/span> (Reuters) &#8211; South African bond yields<br \/>\nhit record lows this week as foreigners piled into emerging<br \/>\nmarket debt but they are looking vulnerable to a sudden reversal<br \/>\namid fears ratings agencies may downgrade the continent&#8217;s<br \/>\nbiggest sovereign.<\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The trigger for the market turning looks likely to come from<br \/>\npolicy uncertainty caused by behind-the-scenes political<br \/>\nposturing ahead of an internal election in the ruling ANC in<br \/>\nDecember, analysts said.<\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Mining policy &#8211; the subject of much debate after a major ANC<br \/>\nconference last week &#8211; is under particular scrutiny, and local<br \/>\ndealers say they are preparing for a stampede for the exit by<br \/>\nthe 50 billion rand, $6.2 billion, of foreign cash that has<br \/>\nsloshed into the bond market so far this year.<\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The door won&#8217;t be big enough,&#8221; one Johannesburg-based<br \/>\ndealer said.<\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Although growth in the mining sector has not kept pace with<br \/>\nthe rest of the economy since the end of apartheid in 1994, it<br \/>\nstill accounts for 8 percent of output, and the government has<br \/>\nidentified it as vital to creating jobs.<\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The lack of clarity with regards to future policies in key<br \/>\neconomic areas &#8211; and the mining sector is a key area of South<br \/>\nAfrican economy &#8211; at the moment is certainly something that<br \/>\nweighs negatively on the rating,&#8221; said Konrad Reuss, Sub-Saharan<br \/>\nAfrica managing director of Standard  Poor&#8217;s.<\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Despite such concerns, yield-chasing foreign cash has<br \/>\ncontinued to come into South Africa, with inflows so far this<br \/>\nyear up 60 percent on the same period in 2011.<\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The 2015 and 2021 bonds, the most<br \/>\npopular debt last month, hit fresh record highs in the last two<br \/>\ndays, pushing yields to 5.91 and 7.07 percent respectively, and<br \/>\nlook set to go lower as expectations of interest rate cuts rise.<br \/>\n\u00a0 <span class=\"label\"><strong>Continued&#8230;<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Xola Potelwa JOHANNESBURG, July 6 (Reuters) &#8211; South African bond yields hit record lows this week as foreigners piled into emerging market debt but they are looking vulnerable to a sudden reversal amid fears ratings agencies may downgrade the continent&#8217;s biggest sovereign. The trigger for the market turning looks likely to come from policy [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[830,2370,183],"class_list":{"0":"post-12188","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-south-africa","7":"tag-news","8":"tag-reuters","9":"tag-south-africa-2","10":"entry"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12188","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12188"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12188\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12188"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12188"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12188"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}