{"id":160320,"date":"2020-04-21T18:47:38","date_gmt":"2020-04-21T16:47:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/numbers-can-kill-politicians-should-handle-south-africas-coronavirus-data-with-care-the-conversation\/"},"modified":"2020-04-21T18:47:38","modified_gmt":"2020-04-21T16:47:38","slug":"numbers-can-kill-politicians-should-handle-south-africas-coronavirus-data-with-care-the-conversation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/numbers-can-kill-politicians-should-handle-south-africas-coronavirus-data-with-care-the-conversation\/","title":{"rendered":"Numbers can kill: politicians should handle South Africa’s coronavirus data with care | The Conversation"},"content":{"rendered":"

Numbers can kill: politicians should handle South Africa’s coronavirus data with care<\/a>: <\/p>\n

The reporting of South Africa's first COVID-19 case sparked a racialised discourse that persists. <\/span> GettyImages<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Numbers tell stories. Usually, stories of people \u2013 often happy stories, like births, marriages, finishing school, getting a degree, getting a job. Even paying taxes. Sometimes they tell sad stories \u2013 death, divorce, disease, liquidations.<\/p>\n

Statistics do not provide a cold or inanimate way of dealing with the world \u2013 they are one key part of the world, waiting for someone to spin the tale they tell. <\/p>\n

At a time of heightened fear such as the world is currently living through, ensuring statistics of death and disease are handled with sensitivity should be self-evident, most particularly to politicians.<\/p>\n

It appears not.<\/p>\n

No one controls who talks to data once they\u2019re in the public domain. No one stops journalists or students or politicians from analysing official stats as they see fit, thus creating their own narrative. That is why there are clear ethical and legal protocols in place. <\/p>\n

The most basic of these is never to release data that may allow respondents to be identified. <\/p>\n

In the case of South Africa this means that, in practice, Statistics South Africa (Stats SA), the country\u2019s national statistical service, anonymises data it does release and has legal rules for the \u201clevel\u201d at which data can be made available. This refers to both individuals and small, identifiable communities. <\/p>\n

This is appropriate. It prevents the potential violation of confidentiality \u2013 the ability to point accusatory fingers because you choose to read (or misread, exaggerate, over-state) numbers in a particular way.<\/p>\n

But is this basic protocol being adhered to during the COVID-19 pandemic?<\/p>\n

Sadly not. An early case in point is the Western Cape, where premier Alan Winde released remarkably detailed figures on the local level sites of COVID-19 infection in the province. <\/p>\n

As Winde put it, <\/p>\n

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Today (March 29) we have started providing sub-district information across the Western Cape, including in the city of Cape Town. The stats show us that this virus is spreading, reaching communities across our province. Each and every one of these cases, from Khayelitsha and Mitchells Plain to Mossel Bay \u2014 is of very serious concern for my government.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

He went on to give detailed data for the Cape. Winde\u2019s example has since been followed by other premiers, mayors and many others. This is not a party political point-scoring piece.<\/p>\n

The obvious question is: why tell us, at such granular level? <\/p>\n

Winde was no doubt acting from good intentions, one most people would share, which is that the more information people have, the more they may appreciate risk, and the better they may respond to the constraints of the COVID-19 lockdown. <\/p>\n

\"\"
Police monitor compliance with COVID-19 regulations in the Diepsloot informal settlement, Johannesburg.<\/span> Michele Spatari\/AFP\/GettyImages<\/span><\/span> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

And, quite rightly, he was trying to put out the flames of potential stigma \u2013 as every politician subsequently repeats as they intone the nightly death toll. He and others have tried to say the disease knows no race or age or class. It can get anyone. <\/p>\n

But the path to hell, as we know, is paved with good intentions.<\/p>\n

The politics of death<\/h2>\n

When the first South African COVID-19 infection was reported on 5 March, almost immediately a video was circulated by some political figures that made it clear this was a rich white problem. Who else visits Italy in March?<\/p>\n

It pointed to the immediate racialisation of the first South African infection. This was a disease of white globe-trotters. This was a problem for rich whites, not for \u201cus\u201d (mainly poor black people). It fed on the political discourse that marked the 2019 election \u2013 \u201cprotect our borders\u201d (from \u201cthem\u201d), take back \u201cour\u201d land and jobs (from a different \u201cthem\u201d). <\/p>\n

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Read more: Zimbabwe’s shattered economy poses a serious challenge to fighting COVID-19 <\/strong> <\/em> <\/p>\n

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The same reaction greeted HIV when it debuted in the 1980s and was written off as the gay-related immunodeficiency syndrome. It was a disease of \u201cmoffies<\/em>\u201d \u2013 a derogatory term used to describe gay people in South Africa \u2013 a Western disease, a white disease, and a \u201cthem\u201d disease. It was self-evidently not \u201cour\u201d macho, heterosexual problem. Until it was. And then it slaughtered people, and is still doing so. <\/p>\n

Have people really learned absolutely nothing?<\/p>\n

COVID-19 is everyone\u2019s disease as well, as people are grudgingly accepting. But the race and class profile \u2013 of this being a problem for rich white people, that started with South Africa\u2019s infection #1 \u2013 created a discourse that has not disappeared. It is fuelled by the country\u2019s existing racialised inequality and people\u2019s genuine fear of this invisible virus. <\/p>\n

The release of data showing that \u201crich white\u201d suburban parts of Cape Town and Johannesburg are the epicentres in both city and province is problematic. It feeds into and amplifies South Africa\u2019s tendency to default to race, and creates real local divisions that mirror and deepen those already hardcreted into South Africa\u2019s cities by apartheid spatial engineering.<\/p>\n

Controlling the narrative<\/h2>\n

But why did stigma exist (and why so early)? <\/p>\n

In no small part, because government didn\u2019t control the narrative from day one. As a result, every session now includes the repetition that the virus cares not a jot for race. But, though government spokespeople also reassure South Africans that it doesn\u2019t care if you\u2019re rich or poor, a new narrative is taking root, that \u201cthe poor\u201d are \u201cthe problem\u201d \u2013 that enforced proximity coupled with poverty and compromised health means the epicentre will be informal settlements. <\/p>\n

This is because we are so fundamentally unequal that this virus (like HIV before it) is going to disproportionately affect the poor. And the poor are overwhelmingly black. So the prejudice that welcomed COVID has created its own truth.<\/p>\n

Statistics do tell stories. But they are understood in different contexts. So while everyone would love to know more about their neighbours \u2013 from the census, from COVID-19 data, from income and expenditure surveys, and other official data sources \u2013 they can\u2019t. And they should not be able to \u2013 that way lies stigmatisation, racist and nationalist narratives, and worse. <\/p>\n

In many countries across the world narratives of \u201cour\u201d jobs apparently being \u201ctaken\u201d by others are becoming increasingly common in the wake of COVID-19. This, as has been shown in South Africa prior to the pandemic, leads to xenophobic violence and more death, as happened immediately after the 2019 national elections.<\/p>\n

Politicians should take heed. Good intentions do not guarantee good outcomes. Stop imagining that granular data helps \u2013 it doesn\u2019t. Stick to the protocols \u2013 and the law. Statistics South Africa does not release this type of data, precisely to protect people from one another. Leaders need to do the same, or the country may be divided after the COVID-19 crisis than it was before it hit.<\/p>\n

\n

Read more: The five criteria low income countries must have in place for lockdowns to work <\/strong> <\/em> <\/p>\n

\n

\"The <\/p>\n

David Everatt is the chairperson of the South African Statistics Council at StatsSA.. <\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Source:<\/strong> The Conversation \u2013 Articles (AFRICA)<\/a><\/small>
\n<\/p>\n

Read more on The Conversation<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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Numbers can kill: politicians should handle South Africa’s coronavirus data with care: The reporting of South Africa's first COVID-19 case sparked a racialised discourse that persists. GettyImages Numbers tell stories. Usually, stories of people \u2013 often happy stories, like births, marriages, finishing school, getting a degree, getting a job. Even paying taxes. Sometimes they tell […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[4584],"tags":[4635,3699,8890,37255,4732,11291,7964,4346,11089,4017,3576],"class_list":{"0":"post-160320","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-africa-news-2","7":"tag-africas","8":"tag-care","9":"tag-conversation","10":"tag-coronavirus","11":"tag-data","12":"tag-handle","13":"tag-kill","14":"tag-numbers","15":"tag-politicians","16":"tag-should","17":"tag-south","18":"entry"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160320","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=160320"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160320\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=160320"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=160320"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=160320"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}