{"id":181568,"date":"2021-02-24T15:39:35","date_gmt":"2021-02-24T13:39:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/treasury-projects-a-r212-2-billion-revenue-shortfall\/"},"modified":"2021-02-24T15:39:35","modified_gmt":"2021-02-24T13:39:35","slug":"treasury-projects-a-r212-2-billion-revenue-shortfall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/treasury-projects-a-r212-2-billion-revenue-shortfall\/","title":{"rendered":"Treasury projects a R212.2 billion revenue shortfall"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The National Treasury announced on Wednesday that the gross tax revenue for 2020\/21 is expected to be R213.2 billion lower than projections in the 2020 Budget.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHowever, due to a recovery in consumption and wages in recent months, and mining sector tax receipts, 2020\/21 revenue collections are expected to be R99.6 billion higher than estimated in the 2020 MTBPS.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs a result, government will not introduce measures to increase tax revenue in this Budget, and previously announced increases amounting to R40 billion over the next four years will be withdrawn.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The main tax proposals include an above-inflation increase in personal income tax brackets and rebates, and an 8 percent increase in alcohol and tobacco excise duties.<\/p>\n<p>The National Treasury said while a temporary increase in spending was necessary to combat the spread and impact of COVID-19, the medium-term policy stance is focused on repairing the public finances.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe 2020 MTBPS noted that, over the past decade, increased government spending has failed to promote growth.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSince 2008, real spending growth has averaged 4.1 percent annually, well above annual real GDP growth of 1.5 percent.\u201d&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Despite high levels of expenditure, supported by increased debt accumulation, growth has not recovered to pre-2008 levels.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe fiscal position, which was already weak before the current crisis, has deteriorated sharply, requiring urgent steps to avoid a debt spiral.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor several years, increasing debt-service costs have exceeded nominal GDP growth \u2013 a trend expected to continue over the medium term.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The National Treasury said if this course is not reversed, the economy will not be able to generate sufficient revenue for the state to service debt.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWere that to occur, government would lose the ability to control debt and debt-service costs, as investors conclude that lending rates do not adequately compensate them for risk, leading to greater currency volatility and a protracted capital flow reversal.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>According to the National Treasury, gross loan debt is expected to increase from R3.95 trillion, or 80.3 percent of GDP, in 2020\/21 to R5.23 trillion, or 87.3 percent of GDP, by 2023\/24.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDebt-service costs will rise from R232.9 billion in 2020\/21 to R338.6 billion in 2023\/24.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThese costs, which were already the fastest-rising item of spending, now consume 19.2 percent of tax revenue. Funds that could be spent on economic and social priorities are being redirected to pay local and overseas bondholders.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOver the next three years, annual debt-service payments exceed government spending on most functions, including health, economic services, and peace and security.\u201d \u2013 <strong>SAnews.gov.za<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The National Treasury announced on Wednesday that the gross tax revenue for 2020\/21 is expected to be R213.2 billion lower than projections in the 2020 Budget. \u201cHowever, due to a recovery in consumption and wages in recent months, and mining sector tax receipts, 2020\/21 revenue collections are expected to be R99.6 billion higher than estimated [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[38678],"class_list":{"0":"post-181568","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-south-africa","7":"tag-sanews","8":"entry"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181568","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=181568"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181568\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=181568"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=181568"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=181568"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}