{"id":189908,"date":"2021-05-24T17:52:38","date_gmt":"2021-05-24T15:52:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/why-full-dams-dont-mean-water-security-a-look-at-south-africa\/"},"modified":"2021-05-24T17:52:38","modified_gmt":"2021-05-24T15:52:38","slug":"why-full-dams-dont-mean-water-security-a-look-at-south-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/why-full-dams-dont-mean-water-security-a-look-at-south-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"Why full dams don&#8217;t mean water security: a look at South Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/why-full-dams-dont-mean-water-security-a-look-at-south-africa.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<p>After good summer rains, the dams that supply water to Johannesburg and much of South Africa\u2019s economic heartland <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dws.gov.za\/Hydrology\/Weekly\/Weekly.pdf\">are full<\/a>. This, then, is the time to start worrying about water supplies. <\/p>\n<p>It may sound odd but it\u2019s a lesson learnt from cities across the world over the past two decades. Whether it was Sydney and Melbourne in Australia, Chennai in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/features\/2021-02-03\/how-a-water-crisis-hit-india-s-chennai-one-of-the-world-s-wettest-cities\">India<\/a>, Barcelona in Spain or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/bae1d239-4c8d-4737-b436-000b131c20e2\">S\u00e3o Paulo in Brazil<\/a>, we have seen that, too often, water crises occur because societies don\u2019t take action until it\u2019s already too late. <\/p>\n<p>South Africa had that experience with its <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/what-cape-towns-drought-can-teach-other-cities-about-climate-adaptation-114379\">Day Zero crisis in Cape Town<\/a> between 2015 and 2019. Nelson Mandela Bay, in the Eastern Cape province, is currently <a href=\"https:\/\/www.news24.com\/citypress\/news\/nelson-mandela-bay-on-brink-of-a-water-crisis-20210509\">providing more evidence<\/a>. Despite being advised <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dws.gov.za\/Documents\/Other\/WMA\/15\/4.0.AlgoaReconciliationStrategy.pdf\">for more than a decade<\/a> that its supply infrastructure was inadequate, the municipality did not act and now the dams are almost empty. <\/p>\n<p>The immediate question is whether Johannesburg and the rest of the Gauteng province and surrounding region can avoid that experience. <\/p>\n<p>The region gets its water from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dws.gov.za\/iwrp\/Vaal\/\">Integrated Vaal River System<\/a>, of which the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lhda.org.ls\/lhdaweb\">Lesotho Highlands Water Project<\/a> is an important part. Completion of Phase 2 of this project, which will increase available supplies, is already nearly <a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.gcro.ac.za\/media\/documents\/GCR_Water_Security_Perspective_for_web_2019.pdf\">a decade late and water use has been growing steadily<\/a>. Tenders to build the dam and tunnel for the second phase have not yet been awarded. The earliest that they will provide additional water is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.businesslive.co.za\/bd\/national\/2021-03-10-delivery-date-of-r37bn-lesotho-water-project-pushed-back-to-2027\/\">2027<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>How much water can a dam provide?<\/h2>\n<p>The system\u2019s capacity is already used to its limit but that\u2019s not generally understood. When asked whether water supply is sufficient, most people\u2019s attention focuses on dam levels. By April 2021, most of the system\u2019s dams <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dws.gov.za\/Communications\/PressReleases\/2021\/MS%20-%20Dams%20in%20the%20IVRS%20bolster%20an%20increase%20in%20the%20levels%20of%20the%20system.pdf\">were full<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>But dam levels simply tell you how much water is stored, not how long it will last.<br \/>\nIn this sense, dams are like a household\u2019s bank account. If wages are paid into the account once a month, the family needs to plan how to spend it so that it doesn\u2019t run out. If the flow of money reduces, so too must the expenditures. <\/p>\n<p>Dams work the same way. The water deposited in the reservoir is like the wages paid into the bank \u2013 users must make sure that it doesn\u2019t flow out so fast that there\u2019s none left before the next rains arrive. Enough must be kept in reserve in case there\u2019s a dry year. <\/p>\n<p>So two factors must be considered together to avoid water crises: technical matters like rainfall, river flow and infrastructure; and human factors like the behaviour of water managers and users. <\/p>\n<p>South Africa\u2019s climate is relatively <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weathersa.co.za\/Documents\/Corporate\/Annual%20State%20of%20the%20Climate%202020_19032021121122.pdf\">well documented<\/a>. The priority for water planners is to manage the fact that rainfall is highly variable. <\/p>\n<p>Planners work with hydrologists and climate scientists to estimate the risk that there will be a succession of dry years. They calculate how low river flows will go and how much storage is needed to keep supplies running. That kind of information, used to plan the infrastructure of the Integrated Vaal River System, has kept the region water secure for almost 40 years. It also flagged the need to build the next phase of the Lesotho project. <\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s where the human factors intervene. <\/p>\n<p>To meet the water needs of populations and economies, planned investments must be made on time. And until additional supply is available, water use must be kept within safe limits. This requires water users to change their behaviour. <\/p>\n<h2>Human behaviour<\/h2>\n<p>Since the Gauteng population is growing at <a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.gcro.ac.za\/media\/documents\/GCR_Water_Security_Perspective_for_web_2019.pdf\">about 3% per year<\/a>, and supply is fixed, consumption will have to decrease by 3% a year if the region is to stay water secure. <\/p>\n<p>But if people see full dams, can they be persuaded to reduce their water use? <\/p>\n<p>Some efforts are already being made. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.randwater.co.za\/Pages\/Home.aspx\">Rand Water<\/a>, the bulk water provider, has a critical role to play. It takes water from the Vaal river system, purifies it and supplies it to municipalities and big industries across the region. Rand Water has reached the limit of what it\u2019s allowed to take from the system and is now rationing available water between <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iol.co.za\/pretoria-news\/news\/call-to-use-tshwane-water-sparingly-as-restrictions-in-place-98e10102-aed7-4d44-b2e5-bbfd5e5fb365\">its different users<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>Consumption targets have been set for individual municipalities and Rand Water is restricting supplies to those that don\u2019t use their water efficiently. <\/p>\n<p>Consumption per person in the region is around 300 litres per day \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.gcro.ac.za\/media\/documents\/GCR_Water_Security_Perspective_for_web_2019.pdf\">well above global averages<\/a> \u2013 so there\u2019s room for improvement. And almost <a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.gcro.ac.za\/media\/documents\/GCR_Water_Security_Perspective_for_web_2019.pdf#page=42\">40%<\/a> of the water supplied to municipalities is \u201cnon-revenue water\u201d \u2013 either lost through leaks or not billed and paid for and thus often wasted. At the root of these problems is poor management and maintenance. <\/p>\n<p>To cope with supply restrictions, municipalities face difficult choices. Most are trying to reduce their \u201cnon-revenue water\u201d. Some are delaying new housing and industrial developments. Others are cutting supply to selected suburbs for days at a time, when they reach their allocated limit. <\/p>\n<p>The region\u2019s citizens have not yet been told the hard truth that for the next six years, this supply squeeze will get tighter. Yet this information is essential if communities and households are to play their part. People will not change their behaviour unless they\u2019re told what\u2019s happening and how to avoid a crisis. <\/p>\n<h2>Going forward<\/h2>\n<p>A lesson from Cape Town\u2019s \u201cDay Zero\u201d experience was that when people were told about the problems, and about how the city and their neighbourhood were performing, they <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2018\/may\/04\/back-from-the-brink-how-cape-town-cracked-its-water-crisis\">reduced their water use<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Cape Town showed that people will take difficult actions when there\u2019s a problem they can see and understand. <\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s been <a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.gcro.ac.za\/media\/documents\/GCR_Water_Security_Perspective_for_web_2019.pdf\">suggested<\/a> that Rand Water should publish monthly reports on the progress made to achieve municipal savings targets. That is politically delicate since national ministers are reluctant to expose their local counterparts to criticism. <\/p>\n<p>So the technical dimension of ensuring reliable water supply \u2013 managing the dams, treatment works, pumps and pipes \u2013 is difficult. But even more challenging is the task of motivating human interventions, from ministers down to households. <\/p>\n<p>The measure of success or failure is whether the water comes out of the taps when needed. And too often, it\u2019s human behaviour rather than infrastructure that fails us.<\/p>\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/africa\/\">Source: The Conversation<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After good summer rains, the dams that supply water to Johannesburg and much of South Africa\u2019s economic heartland are full. This, then, is the time to start worrying about water supplies. It may sound odd but it\u2019s a lesson learnt from cities across the world over the past two decades. Whether it was Sydney and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[4584],"tags":[3257],"class_list":{"0":"post-189908","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-africa-news-2","7":"tag-mypr","8":"entry","9":"has-post-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/189908","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=189908"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/189908\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=189908"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=189908"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=189908"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}