{"id":191184,"date":"2021-06-06T20:33:20","date_gmt":"2021-06-06T18:33:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/nigerias-twitter-ban-could-backfire-hurting-the-economy-and-democracy\/"},"modified":"2021-06-06T20:33:20","modified_gmt":"2021-06-06T18:33:20","slug":"nigerias-twitter-ban-could-backfire-hurting-the-economy-and-democracy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/nigerias-twitter-ban-could-backfire-hurting-the-economy-and-democracy\/","title":{"rendered":"Nigeria\u2019s Twitter ban could backfire, hurting the economy and democracy"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Nigeria\u2019s decision to suspend Twitter indefinitely could backfire for the government and cost the country economically in terms of new investments into its technology sector. The Nigerian government suspended<\/a> Twitter on June 4. The official press release<\/a> gave only a vague justification, citing threats to \u201cNigeria\u2019s corporate existence\u201d.<\/p>\n

While only a minority of Nigerians use Twitter, they form part of the most vocal and politically active segment of the population. Many young people have used Twitter and other social media recently to organise anti-government protests. And Nigeria<\/a> has been among the best-performining African countries in attracting investments for technology start-up business. The ban could threaten that status.<\/p>\n

The government made little effort to hide the likely main reason for the ban: the social media giant\u2019s decision<\/a> to delete a tweet by President Muhammadu Buhari just days before. In the tweet, Buhari seemed to threaten violent retaliation against a southeastern secessionist group\u2019s alleged recent attacks<\/a> on government facilities and personnel. Twitter claimed the message had violated its rules against \u201cabusive behaviour<\/a>\u201d. <\/p>\n

The move angered many in the Nigerian government. Information and Culture Minister Lai Mohammed criticised \u201cdouble standards\u201d<\/a> and complained<\/a> that Twitter had not deleted missives from a separatist leader. He also alleged that it supported the 2020 #EndSARS<\/a> movement against police brutality. The potential that social media could help mobilise such a large, youth-driven protest movement<\/a> sent shudders throughout the ruling establishment. Officials might hope a ban squelches a growing protest movement<\/a> against rising insecurity.<\/p>\n

The deletion of Buhari\u2019s tweet also came on the heels of Twitter\u2019s April 2021 announcement<\/a> that it would be setting up its first African office in Accra, not Lagos. In its justification<\/a>, Twitter cited Ghana\u2019s support for \u201cfree speech, online freedom, and the open internet\u201d. The choice came despite the fact that Nigeria probably has more Twitter users \u2013 40 million, by one count<\/a> \u2013 than Ghana has people<\/a>. <\/p>\n

The shutdown will be hard to enforce. It is also likely to be unpopular. And it could have have dire consequences for Nigeria\u2019s fragile democratic institutions<\/a> and COVID-battered economy<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The shutdown challenge<\/h2>\n

Shortly after the ban went into effect, traffic to the site was blocked<\/a> on leading local mobile networks like MTN, Globacom, Airtel and 9mobile, though access was still possible through some internet service providers. <\/p>\n

Nigeria\u2019s attorney general, Abubakar Malami, promised to prosecute<\/a> those violating the ban.<\/p>\n

But the extent to which the ban will stop Nigerians who want to use the platform from doing so is open to question. Targeting users for punishment would be a gargantuan and costly task.<\/p>\n

It might also not be technologically feasible. Within hours, internet searches for \u201cVPNs\u201d \u2013 virtual private networks, which allow users to disguise their online identity and evade country-specific limits \u2013 surged<\/a> across the country. Multiple videos appeared on YouTube, explaining the ins and outs of VPNs to Twitter-hungry Nigerians. <\/p>\n

Nigerians also have plenty of other digital options to share opinions and information, from the popular WhatsApp <\/a> to the Indian microblogging service Koo, which quickly announced plans<\/a> to expand into the country. <\/p>\n

Not-so-hidden costs<\/h2>\n

The widespread use of VPNs would come at significant costs. Poorer Nigerians are likely turn to free VPNs instead of fee-based ones that are more secure. This will expose them to data theft<\/a> and other forms of hacking. <\/p>\n

And the use of VPNs can slow<\/a> internet connectivity.<\/p>\n

Beyond being an annoyance, this could significantly hamper economic productivity. Nigeria\u2019s economy<\/a> and even government have become increasingly reliant on digital media. Some noted the irony<\/a> that the government announced its ban on Twitter with a tweet<\/a>. NetBlocks, which tracks internet governance, estimated<\/a> that each day of the Twitter shutdown will cost the Nigerian economy over 2 billion naira ($6 million US). <\/p>\n

Digital media are essential for information exchange, marketing, customer service, and remote work, especially during public health and safety emergencies. Shutdowns<\/a> can slow commerce, cut productivity and ultimately cost jobs. <\/p>\n

In the longer term, the ban \u2013 even if only brief \u2013 could seriously harm Nigeria\u2019s ability to attract investment to its otherwise-promising digital economy<\/a>. Investors may turn to markets without the threat of sudden regulatory disruptions to the digital economy. In other words, Twitter\u2019s choice of Ghana would only be the beginning.<\/p>\n

Public reaction<\/h2>\n

Predictably, the ban generated widespread anger<\/a> on the platform. But Twitter users constitute a minority of the Nigerian population and they are not representative of the general public. <\/p>\n

A 2020 survey<\/a> by the independent, Africa-based research organisation Afrobarometer found that:<\/p>\n