{"id":235031,"date":"2022-08-24T10:46:47","date_gmt":"2022-08-24T08:46:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mypr.co.za\/?p=120199"},"modified":"2022-08-24T10:46:47","modified_gmt":"2022-08-24T08:46:47","slug":"south-africa-at-high-risk-of-becoming-a-demoralised-land-of-disorder-and-decay-by-2030","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/south-africa-at-high-risk-of-becoming-a-demoralised-land-of-disorder-and-decay-by-2030\/","title":{"rendered":"South Africa at high risk of becoming a \u201cdemoralised land of disorder and decay\u201d by 2030"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"scaip scaip-1 \">\n<aside id=\"republication_tracker_tool-2\" class=\"republication_tracker_tool clearfix\">\n<h5 class=\"adtitle\">Republish for Free<\/h5>\n<div class=\"license\">\n<p><button name=\"Republish This Story\" id=\"cc-btn\" class=\"republication-tracker-tool-button\">Republish This Story<\/button><\/p>\n<p><a class=\"license\" rel=\"noreferrer license noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nd\/4.0\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Creative Commons License\" class=\"lazyload\" src=\"http:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/south-africa-at-high-risk-of-becoming-a-demoralised-land-of-disorder-and-decay-by-2030.png\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Creative Commons License\" src=\"http:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/south-africa-at-high-risk-of-becoming-a-demoralised-land-of-disorder-and-decay-by-2030.png\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"message\">\n<p>Republish our articles for free, online or in print, under a Creative Commons license.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<\/aside>\n<figure id=\"attachment_120200\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-120200\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/mypr.co.za\/?attachment_id=120200\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt width=\"300\" height=\"167\" class=\"wp-image-120200 size-thumbnail lazyload\" src=\"http:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/south-africa-at-high-risk-of-becoming-a-demoralised-land-of-disorder-and-decay-by-2030-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-120200 size-thumbnail\" src=\"http:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/south-africa-at-high-risk-of-becoming-a-demoralised-land-of-disorder-and-decay-by-2030-1.png\" alt width=\"300\" height=\"167\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-120200\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">In fact, many of the indicators informing this year\u2019s Barometer reading have declined beyond the Gwara Gwara scenario thresholds. As a result, for the first time Indlulamithi has contemplated a so-called Gwara Gwara Plus (GG+) future \u2013 a scenario more dire than Gwara Gwara. More than a third of the indicators lie in GG+, with South Africa sitting 26% in Gwara Gwara and 36% in GG+.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A change in the national trajectory seems elusive but can be achieved through effective social compacts.<\/p>\n<p>JOHANNESBURG, South Africa \u2013 10 August 2022 \u2013 The #IndlulamithiDay2022 Barometer results show South Africa moving dangerously deeper into Indlulamithi\u2019s Gwara Gwara scenario, which imagines the country as a \u201cdemoralised land of disorder and decay\u201d by 2030.<\/p>\n<p>The annual Barometer, whose latest readings were unveiled on 27 July, shows the country trending 64% towards the worst-case scenario as indicated by a range of measures. This is up from 59% in 2021 and 46% in 2019.<\/p>\n<p>In the Gwara Gwara scenario, levels of social cohesion are low, average economic growth drops below 2%, official unemployment remains persistently above 25%, and approximately one third of the population remains in poverty.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor South Africans, everyday life has been in Gwara Gwara for years now. Gwara Gwara is most prevalent in our measure of \u201csocial inequality\u201d, one of the key driving forces of the Indlulamithi Scenarios. This calls for urgent action to alter course by fixing the everyday lives and experiences of citizens,\u201d commented Dr Tara Polzer Ngwato, lead researcher for the Indlulamithi Barometer.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, many of the indicators informing this year\u2019s Barometer reading have declined beyond the Gwara Gwara scenario thresholds. As a result, for the first time Indlulamithi has contemplated a so-called Gwara Gwara Plus (GG+) future \u2013 a scenario more dire than Gwara Gwara. More than a third of the indicators lie in GG+, with South Africa sitting 26% in Gwara Gwara and 36% in GG+.<\/p>\n<p>Reasons for the further decline into Gwara Gwara include decreases in: hope in the country\u2019s economic trajectory, stability in major political parties, reliability of power supply, and an extreme decrease in government entities audited having \u2018good\u2019 financial status.<\/p>\n<p>Also contributing to growing levels of resentment and resistance are: rising youth unemployment, worsening inequality, gender-based violence, alarming levels of crime, a worsening debt crisis, growing inflation, floods, increased levels of household food insecurity, a weakened capacity of state institutions, and corruption.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re not just doing slightly worse than our comparative countries. We\u2019re doing much, much worse \u2013 half as well as we should be compared to countries with similar kinds of middle-income status,\u201d added Dr Polzer Ngwato.<\/p>\n<p>The Indlulamithi Barometer was designed in 2019 as an evidence-based tool to create a shared understanding of the future among all South Africans. It hopes to create a sense urgency and galvanise collective action toward the goal of social cohesion.<\/p>\n<p>The social compact seminar<\/p>\n<p>#IndlulamithiDay2022 also focused on how to improve this 2030 outlook and move from Gwara Gwara into the Nayi le Walk future \u2013 Indlulamithi\u2019s best-case scenario.<\/p>\n<p>The seminar asked three key questions to provide thought leadership for social compacting:<\/p>\n<p>1. What is the state and future of South Africa social compact(s)?<br \/>2. What are the options, or impediments and processes for compacting?<br \/>3. What framework or approach for compacting can work for South Africa, with who doing what, and when?<\/p>\n<p>The discussions emphasised that social compacts are not an answer or solution in and of themselves to the crises we face. Rather, they are a means to an end \u2013 a process that promises to help South Africans work together peacefully on defining, determining and implementing solutions to the malaise. A social compacting approach asks: How can we employ collaboration rather than imposition, to make progress on our complex challenges?<\/p>\n<p>The Indlulamithi Scenarios Trust believes the answer to reaching Nayi Le Walk is in enabling social compacts that are actionable, measurable and hold all partners accountable. The process of social compacting requires broader representation, with participatory processes for those that are impacted but currently outside formal compacting mechanisms such as Nedlac. And finally, that before social compacts in South Africa can be effective, increased trust must be fostered between the social partners. People need to see that social compacts can deliver, which means less talk and cutting of ribbons, and more action \u2013 to build confidence.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe are sliding dangerously close to the edge of uncertainty and we must act decisively. We know that the Nayi le Walk vision of a South Africa \u2013 marked by growing social cohesion, economic expansion, and a renewed sense of constitutionalism \u2013 is elusive, but not impossible. We must pursue it together,\u201d said Professor Somadoda Fikeni, Indlulamithi project lead.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSocial compacts provide a vehicle for collaborative action, a way to mediate the competing interests that divide us and pull South Africa out of stagnation and decay, into an environment conducive to investment, job-creation and peaceful co-exitance\u201d, said Dr. Marius Oosthuizen of the Centre for Leadership and Dialogue at GIBS.<\/p>\n<p>Contributing to the discussion on social compacts were Lisa Seftel (Executive Director of Nedlac), Lawrence Matemba (Acting Head of the Policy and Research Services Branch in The Presidency), Matthew Parks (Deputy Parliamentary Coordinator, COSATU), Martin Kingston (CEO of Rothschild &amp; Co), Adam Kahane (Director of Reos Partners), Michelle Muschett (Faculty Member of the School of Government of ADEN University), Andrew Boraine (EDP) and Neeshan Balton (Ahmed Kathrada Foundation).<\/p>\n<p>To watch the replay of #IndlulamithiDay2022, visit: https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Ww1Kw2FhdGg&amp;t=502s<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/mypr.co.za\/contact\/featured\/\">CLICK HERE to submit your press release to MyPR.co.za<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"post-views-icon dashicons dashicons-chart-bar\"><\/span> <span class=\"post-views-label\">Press Release Views since 1 July 2022:<\/span> <span class=\"post-views-count\">138<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-pagination pagination\">Pages: <span class=\"post-page-numbers current\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Page <\/span>1<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/mypr.co.za\/south-africa-at-high-risk-of-becoming-a-demoralised-land-of-disorder-and-decay-by-2030\/2\/\" class=\"post-page-numbers\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Page <\/span>2<\/a><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/mypr.co.za\">Source: MyPR.co.za<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Republish for Free Republish This Story Republish our articles for free, online or in print, under a Creative Commons license. In fact, many of the indicators informing this year\u2019s Barometer reading have declined beyond the Gwara Gwara scenario thresholds. As a result, for the first time Indlulamithi has contemplated a so-called Gwara Gwara Plus (GG+) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":235032,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[9021,1],"tags":[3257],"class_list":{"0":"post-235031","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mypr","8":"category-south-africa","9":"tag-mypr","10":"entry"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/south-africa-at-high-risk-of-becoming-a-demoralised-land-of-disorder-and-decay-by-2030.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/235031","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=235031"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/235031\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/235032"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=235031"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=235031"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.myza.co.za\/press\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=235031"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}